Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.041348 2.325204 2.633623 2.993551 3.402023 3.851163 4.382498
2025-10-12 1.594593 1.980271 2.435750 3.013088 3.725323 4.575271 5.666969
2025-10-19 1.385364 1.825986 2.377069 3.116421 4.082277 5.301338 6.957788
2025-10-26 1.193492 1.652332 2.253990 3.099881 4.258229 5.789153 7.967753
2025-11-02 1.050352 1.517738 2.156338 3.091465 4.425490 6.260449 8.978448
2025-11-09 0.920593 1.382479 2.037351 3.032045 4.504156 6.602927 9.825399
2025-11-16 0.839935 1.306480 1.990657 3.065108 4.709364 7.131236 10.973282
2025-11-23 0.773124 1.242434 1.952537 3.102723 4.918276 7.674349 12.180700
2025-11-30 0.704261 1.167022 1.888112 3.090513 5.044505 8.095841 13.228323
2025-12-07 0.635638 1.084386 1.803391 3.035755 5.094327 8.396125 14.100620
2025-12-14 0.573525 1.005894 1.717266 2.968881 5.115040 8.645913 14.903303
2025-12-21 0.523919 0.943486 1.651464 2.928567 5.173692 8.957803 15.828218
2025-12-28 0.514416 0.953680 1.715774 3.128696 5.681499 10.099898 18.337683
2026-01-04 0.475590 0.908148 1.680108 3.151756 5.885597 10.746497 20.056639
2026-01-11 0.453498 0.890546 1.691651 3.259652 6.250040 11.704106 22.419411
2026-01-18 0.416853 0.841173 1.639423 3.242368 6.378394 12.241029 24.046659
2026-01-25 0.385271 0.798118 1.594477 3.233569 6.520042 12.811569 25.784986
2026-02-01 0.350926 0.745774 1.526186 3.171449 6.549955 13.168510 27.134149
2026-02-08 0.330465 0.719707 1.507205 3.206014 6.775110 13.923033 29.341647
2026-02-15 0.312285 0.696471 1.491540 3.245338 7.012461 14.719931 31.703950
2026-02-22 0.290808 0.663846 1.453136 3.232574 7.138429 15.298375 33.658080
2026-03-01 0.267421 0.624551 1.396772 3.175328 7.162905 15.665584 35.190487
2026-03-08 0.245194 0.585570 1.337361 3.105415 7.152423 15.955771 36.577517